Every fight on the next UFC card: who we think wins, how likely each finish is, and the fighters' stats side by side, cardio and late-round pace included.
BETA: the MMA model is new and has no public record yet. Card: Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 9, October 6.
THIS CARD'S TOP PICKS 3 picks
Salhahuddin Everett vs Ozzy Martin
Tue Oct 6
Ozzy Martin to winMONEYLINE
Rated the stronger fighter overall, and the betting market agrees.
- Likely result
- Decision
- Weight class
- Welterweight
Confidence59%
🇧🇷 Roque Conceicao vs Alexander Chavez
Tue Oct 6
Alexander Chavez to winMONEYLINE
Rated the stronger fighter overall, and the betting market agrees.
- Likely result
- Decision
- Weight class
- Flyweight
Confidence54%
🇺🇸 Preston La Grange vs Nell Ariano
Tue Oct 6
Preston La Grange to winMONEYLINE
Rated the stronger fighter overall, and the betting market agrees.
- Likely finish
- KO/TKO
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
Confidence53%
EVERY FIGHT 5 on the board · our pick for each
Tue Oct 6
RED CORNERBLUE CORNER
🏴Summer Onley
vs
Alivia Bierley
6-0-00-0-0
OUR PICKSummer Onley to win
MONEYLINE
Rated the stronger fighter overall, and the betting market agrees.
- Likely result
- Decision
- Weight class
- Women's Bantamweight
- Rounds
- 3 (main event)
- Card spot
- Main event
- Goes the distance
- 50%
- Ends inside 1.5 rounds
- 29%
| Summer Onley | Alivia Bierley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 50% | 50% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 13% | 13% |
| Chance to win by submission | 12% | 12% |
| Chance to win by decision | 25% | 25% |
| From | England | – |
| Pro record | 6-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| UFC record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pro wins by method | 5 KO · 0 sub · 1 dec | – |
| Age | – | 30 |
| Striking | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Power | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Chin | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Grappling | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Cardio | New to UFC | New to UFC |
Confidence50%
TOP PICKTue Oct 6
RED CORNERBLUE CORNER
Salhahuddin Everett
vs
Ozzy Martin
0-0-00-0-0
OUR PICKOzzy Martin to win
MONEYLINE
Rated the stronger fighter overall, and the betting market agrees.
- Likely result
- Decision
- Weight class
- Welterweight
- Rounds
- 3
- Card spot
- Co-main
- Goes the distance
- 42%
- Ends inside 1.5 rounds
- 33%
| Salhahuddin Everett | Ozzy Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 41% | 59% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 12% | 18% |
| Chance to win by submission | 11% | 16% |
| Chance to win by decision | 17% | 25% |
| Pro record | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| UFC record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Age | – | 24 |
| Striking | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Power | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Chin | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Grappling | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Cardio | New to UFC | New to UFC |
Confidence59%
TOP PICKTue Oct 6
RED CORNERBLUE CORNER
🇧🇷Roque Conceicao
vs
Alexander Chavez
10-3-09-0-0
OUR PICKAlexander Chavez to win
MONEYLINE
Rated the stronger fighter overall, and the betting market agrees.
- Likely result
- Decision
- Weight class
- Flyweight
- Rounds
- 3
- Card spot
- Main card
- Goes the distance
- 52%
- Ends inside 1.5 rounds
- 28%
| Roque Conceicao | Alexander Chavez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 46% | 54% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 12% | 14% |
| Chance to win by submission | 11% | 12% |
| Chance to win by decision | 24% | 28% |
| From | Brazil | – |
| Pro record | 10-3-0 | 9-0-0 |
| UFC record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pro wins by method | 7 KO · 2 sub · 1 dec | – |
| Age | 26 | 26 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Striking | Average (few UFC fights) | New to UFC |
| Power | Average (few UFC fights) | New to UFC |
| Chin | Strong (few UFC fights) | New to UFC |
| Grappling | Average (few UFC fights) | New to UFC |
| Cardio | Average (few UFC fights) | New to UFC |
Confidence54%
Tue Oct 6
RED CORNERBLUE CORNER
Ryuho Miyaguchi
vs
Mateus Soares🇧🇷
0-0-00-1-0
OUR PICKRyuho Miyaguchi to win
MONEYLINE
Rated the stronger fighter overall, and the betting market agrees.
- Likely result
- Decision
- Weight class
- Bantamweight
- Rounds
- 3
- Card spot
- Main card
- Goes the distance
- 49%
- Ends inside 1.5 rounds
- 29%
| Ryuho Miyaguchi | Mateus Soares | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 52% | 48% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 14% | 13% |
| Chance to win by submission | 13% | 12% |
| Chance to win by decision | 25% | 23% |
| From | – | Brazil |
| Pro record | 0-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
| UFC record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Age | 28 | – |
| Striking | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Power | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Chin | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Grappling | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Cardio | New to UFC | New to UFC |
Confidence52%
TOP PICKTue Oct 6
RED CORNERBLUE CORNER
🇺🇸Preston La Grange
vs
Nell Ariano
6-1-06-0-0
OUR PICKPreston La Grange to win
MONEYLINE
Rated the stronger fighter overall, and the betting market agrees.
- Likely finish
- KO/TKO
- Weight class
- Light Heavyweight
- Rounds
- 3
- Card spot
- Main card
- Goes the distance
- 32%
- Ends inside 1.5 rounds
- 39%
| Preston La Grange | Nell Ariano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win chance | 53% | 47% |
| Chance to win by KO/TKO | 19% | 17% |
| Chance to win by submission | 17% | 15% |
| Chance to win by decision | 17% | 15% |
| From | USA | – |
| Pro record | 6-1-0 | 6-0-0 |
| UFC record | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Pro wins by method | 2 KO · 4 sub · 0 dec | – |
| Age | 27 | – |
| Striking | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Power | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Chin | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Grappling | New to UFC | New to UFC |
| Cardio | New to UFC | New to UFC |
Confidence53%
Win chance blends our fight model, built from every fighter's UFC record and round-by-round stats, with the betting market's price; the market carries most of the weight. KO, submission and decision chances add up to each fighter's win chance. Striking, grappling and cardio are described against other UFC fighters (elite = top 10%). Red corner is listed first. Top picks are the three fighters with the highest win chance on the card.