Playoff baseball: our model's side in every game with both starting pitchers named, plus the prop bets it rates most likely to hit today.
New on BetSharpr for the playoffs. Every pick below is saved before first pitch and graded when the game ends, so our playoff record starts now.
TODAY'S TOP PICKS 1 picks
New York (Y) @ Tampa Bay
Mon Oct 5 · 8:00 PM ET
New York (Y) to winMONEYLINE
Cam Schlittler starts for New York (Y) against Freddy Peralta. New York (Y) is the road team but rates as the better club today. Tampa Bay leads 1-0 going in. Not in New York (Y)'s posted lineup: Heliot Ramos.
- Starters
- Cam Schlittler vs Freddy Peralta
- Series
- AL Division Series · Game 2 of 5 · Tampa Bay leads 1-0
Confidence57%
TOP PROP BETS 6 props
Cody Bellinger New York (Y)
New York (Y) @ Tampa Bay
1+ total bases
2 home runs in his last 7 games; 10 total bases in his last 7 games.
Confidence67%
Jonathan Aranda Tampa Bay
New York (Y) @ Tampa Bay
1+ total bases
Hit in 9 straight games at home; 8 total bases in his last 7 games.
Confidence65%
Spencer Jones New York (Y)
New York (Y) @ Tampa Bay
1+ total bases
6 total bases in his last 7 games.
Confidence63%
Freddy Peralta Tampa Bay
New York (Y) @ Tampa Bay
Under 5.5 strikeouts
Playoff starters get pulled earlier than in the regular season; strikeouts in his last starts: 2.
Confidence62%
Liam Hicks Tampa Bay
New York (Y) @ Tampa Bay
1+ total bases
10 total bases in his last 7 games.
Confidence61%
George Lombard Jr. New York (Y)
New York (Y) @ Tampa Bay
1+ total bases
2 home runs in his last 7 games; 15 total bases in his last 7 games.
Confidence61%
EVERY GAME 4 on the board · our pick for each
TOP PICKMon Oct 5 · 8:00 PM ET
AWAYHOME
New York (Y)
@
Tampa Bay
OUR PICKNew York (Y) to win
MONEYLINE
Cam Schlittler starts for New York (Y) against Freddy Peralta. New York (Y) is the road team but rates as the better club today. Tampa Bay leads 1-0 going in. Not in New York (Y)'s posted lineup: Heliot Ramos.
- Starters
- Cam Schlittler vs Freddy Peralta
- Series
- AL Division Series · Game 2 of 5 · Tampa Bay leads 1-0
- Rest
- Both clubs had a day off
- Not starting
- Heliot Ramos (New York (Y))
TOP PROPS
- Cody Bellinger 1+ total bases 67%
- Jonathan Aranda 1+ total bases 65%
Confidence57%
Mon Oct 5 · 5:00 PM ET
AWAYHOME
Chicago (W)
@
Cleveland
OUR PICKCleveland to win
MONEYLINE
Gavin Williams starts for Cleveland against Anthony Kay. Cleveland has home field. Chicago (W) leads 1-0 going in.
- Starters
- Anthony Kay vs Gavin Williams
- Series
- AL Division Series · Game 2 of 5 · Chicago (W) leads 1-0
- Rest
- Both clubs had a day off
Confidence55%
Tue Oct 6 · 6:00 PM ET
AWAYHOME
Los Angeles (D)
@
Atlanta
OUR PICKLos Angeles (D) to win
MONEYLINE
Yoshinobu Yamamoto starts for Los Angeles (D) against Chris Sale. Los Angeles (D) is the road team but rates as the better club today. The series is tied 1-1 going in.
- Starters
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Chris Sale
- Series
- NL Division Series · Game 3 of 5 · Series tied 1-1
- Rest
- Both clubs had a day off
Confidence52%
Tue Oct 6 · 9:30 PM ET
AWAYHOME
Milwaukee
@
San Diego
OUR PICKSan Diego to win
MONEYLINE
Nick Pivetta starts for San Diego against Dustin May, and he has pitched well the last two weeks. San Diego has home field. Milwaukee leads 2-0 going in. Elimination game for San Diego.
- Starters
- Dustin May vs Nick Pivetta
- Series
- NL Division Series · Game 3 of 5 · Milwaukee leads 2-0
- At stake
- Elimination game for San Diego, Milwaukee can clinch
- Rest
- Both clubs had a day off
Confidence51%
Our model rates each club from its full regular season, leans on the two starting pitchers, and gives the home club its usual edge. The percent is how sure the model is that our side wins. It does not see bullpen usage in October, so treat it as a guide. Prop bets are the ones our player model rates most likely to hit, leaving out any where it and the sportsbooks disagree too much to trust.